WE LIVE PROUDLY OR DIE HONORABLY

 

 

 

 


 
November 13: In the midst of all that, I had to go to Kuwait for the latest Arab Collective Defense Council meeting. Having just witnessed what damage the burden of continuous preparation for war was doing to Egyptian society, I arrived in no mood to appease those who urged us onto everlasting battle while making no comparable sacrifice themselves. My report as Assistant Secretary General of the Arab League for Defense therefore said bluntly what I had wanted to say the year before.

I criticized the non-front-line states for their inadequate financial support. Since 1967 Egypt had spent L.E. 4,125 million, if we counted material losses about L.E.4,500 million. In those years we lost 2,882 soldiers and civilians. Egypt's gross national product (GNP) was only 26 percent of the Arab world's GNP, but it paid 50 percent of the total defense bill. Yet since 1967 Egypt had received only  L.E. 566.2 million from Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Libya combined one-eighth of what Egypt had spent, without putting a value on the loss of life.

We needed two Arab defense policies, I said, short-term and long-term. Short-term, it was unfair and insupportable that some countries were allotting 22.7 percent of their GNP to defense while others, nominal allies, devoted only three percent. Each Arab country should devote to defense at least 15 percent of its GNP. If it would not spend that amount-because its population was too small to absorb it, or for any reason it should transfer the surplus to an Arab Defense Fund to support the efforts of the front-line states.

Long-term, I said, unless we created an arms industry on Arab soil, we would forever lag as far behind Israel as we were now. Israeli arms production, worth $90 million in 1966, had by 1972, risen fivefold to  $428 million. In the same period Arab arms manufacture, now worth $93 million had stagnated.

To illustrate the gap, I spoke of our weakness in the air. I showed how the Israeli air force had the capacity to deliver 2,500 tons of high explosives a day. The combined air forces of the front-line Arab states, even in theory, could deliver only 760 tons. The reality-the short range of most of our aircraft, the low speed of those that did have endurance-would in practice cut even that total drastically. Without our own arms industry we would never bridge the gap.

I proposed we set up a collective arms industry. It should be independent of any single Arab state. Each country should finance it with two percent of its GNP for five years. Shares would be allotted pro rata. Any profits would be distributed only after five years. The industries within the organization should be located according to strategic, technical and economic criteria.

December 12: My plan bore its first fruit. The Arab Chiefs of Staff met in Cairo.

We agreed that the military obligations of the nonfront-line states -the reinforcements they should send - would remain unaltered save for three changes. Saudi Arabia would, with Egyptian help, assign one squadron of Lightnings at once and another in 1974. Kuwait, again in cooperation with Egypt, would also assign one squadron of Lightnings at once, and another at a date to be agreed. Libya would allot two squadrons of Mirage Ills at once, and another at a date to be agreed.

We agreed to call on our governments to allot fifteen percent of each GNP to defense and to allot any unspent surplus to the front-line states. We approved the plan for an arms industry financed by a two percent levy on each GNP for five years-the industry to be independent and operated on economic and commercial criteria.


The meeting of the Arab Collective Defense Council ( ACDC) General al-Shazliy and 
Prince Hamad Bin `Isa,Crown Prince of Bahrayn, Defense Minister of Bahrayn.

That was, I still think, an historic decision. It gave concrete form to the rhetoric of the all-Arab struggle. No resolutions of Chiefs of Staff, nor yet of the Arab Collective Defense Council, are final. (Towards the end of January 1973 the Arab Collective Defense Council met in Cairo. It adopted the report of the Chiefs of Staff.) But the unanimous opinion of its top military men must slowly have effect on the Arab world. Six years later, it remains the case that some Arab states are not contributing 15 percent of their GNP to the continuing struggle. But at least there is now a yardstick against which they can be judged.
 
 


 
NEXT EPISODE:  The Final deal

 

 

 

When a whole nation renders armed resistance, the question then is no longer, "Of what value is this to the people," but " what is its potential value, what are the conditions that it requires, and how is it to be utilized."

By its very nature, such scattered resistance will not lend itself to major actions, closely compressed in time and space. Its effect is like that of the process of evaporation: it depends on how much surface is exposed. The greater the surface and the area of contact between it and the enemy forces, the thinner the latter have to be spread, the greater the effect of a general uprising. Like smoldering embers, it consumes the basic foundations of the enemy forces. Since it needs time to be effective, a state of tension will develop while the two elements interact. This tension will either gradually relax, if the insurgency is suppressed in some places and slowly burns itself out in others, or else it will build up to a crisis: a general conflagration closes in on the enemy, driving him out of the country before he is faced with total destruction. For an uprising by itself to produce such a crisis presupposes an occupied area of a large size or a disproportion between the invading army and the size of the country that would never occur in practice. To be realistic, one must therefore think of a general insurrection within the framework of a war conducted by the regular army, and coordinated in one all-encompassing plan.

The following are the only conditions under which a general uprising can be effective:

1. The war must be fought in the interior of the country.

2. It must not be decided by a single stroke.

3. The theater of operations must be fairly large.

4. The national character must be suited to that type of war.

5. The country must be rough and inaccessible, because of mountains, or forests, marshes, or the local methods of cultivation.

The relative density of the population does not play a decisive part; rarely are there not enough people for the purpose. Nor does it make much difference whether the population is rich or poor- at least it should not be a major consideration, although one must remember that poor men, used to hard, strenuous work and privation, are generally more vigorous and more warlike.

One peculiarity of the countryside that greatly enhances the effectiveness of an insurrection is the scattered distribution of houses and farms, the roads poorer if more numerous; the billeting of troops will prove infinitely more difficult, and, above all, the most characteristic feature of insurgency in general will be constantly repeated in miniature: the element of resistance will exist everywhere and nowhere. Where the population is concentrated in villages, the most restless communities can be garrisoned, or even looted and burned down as punishment; Militia and bands of armed civilians cannot and should not be employed against the main enemy force.

They are not supposed to pulverize the core but to nibble at the shell and around the edges. They are meant to operate in areas just outside the theater of war-where the invader will not appear in strength- in order to deny these areas altogether. Thunder clouds of this type should build up all and the invader the farther he advances. The people who have not yet conquered by the enemy will be the most eager to arm against him; they set an example that will gradually be followed by their neighbors.

The flames will spread like a brush fire, until they reach the area on which the enemy is based, threatening his lines of communication and his very existence. One need not hold an exaggerated faith in the power of a general uprising, nor consider it as an inexhaustible, unconquerable force, which an army cannot hope to stop any more than man can command the wind or the in short, one need not base one's judgment on patriotic broadsides in order to admit that peasants in arms will not let themselves be swept along like a platoon of soldiers. The latter will cling together like a herd of cattle and generally follow their noses; peasants, on the other hand, will scatter and vanish in all directions, without requiring a special plan. This explains the highly dangerous character that a march through mountains, or, forests, or other types of difficult country can assume for a small detachment: at any moment the march may turn into a fight. An area may have long since been cleared of enemy troops, but a band of peasants that was long since driven off by the head of a column may at any moment reappear at its tail. 

When it comes to making roads unusable and blocking narrow passes, the means available to outposts or military raiding parties and those of an insurgent peasantry have about as much in common as the movements of an automaton have with those of a man. The enemy's only answer to militia actions is the sending out of frequent escorts as protection for his convoys, and as guards on all his stopping places, bridges, defiles, and the rest. The early efforts of the militia may be fairly weak, and so will these first detachments, because of the dangers of dispersal. But the flames of insurrection will be fanned by these small detachments, which will on occasion be overpowered by sheer numbers; courage and the appetite for fighting will rise, and so will the tension, until it reaches the climax that decides the outcome. A general uprising, as we see it, should be nebulous and elusive; its resistance should never materialize as a concrete body.

Carl Von Clausewitz; Prussian Military Philosopher

 

 
 

 

 
 

 

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