So far in 1973,
we had mobilized reservists 22 times-sometimes a single group, sometimes
many-for anything from three days to two weeks. It was well known we were
merely testing and perfecting our new mobilization system. On September
27 (D minus 9), we announced another mobilization,
the twenty-third in nine months. The reservists would be released, we said,
on October 7. On September 30 (D
minus 6) we called up another batch. To lull suspicion, on October
4 (D minus 2) we announced the
demobilization of the first batch of September 27, but in reality
demobilized only 20,000.
That routine of mobilization,
so carefully established keys to the success of our deception. The other
was that, throughout the exercise, our main combat units made no irrevocably
aggressive move. They did not need to. For three or four years we had kept
five infantry divisions stationed by the canal, each deployed in defensive
formation over a sector 10-12 miles wide. They remained in those
positions. We relied on the enemy to monitor this and to conclude that
the divisions were not massing for an assault. Our secret was that each
division was to storm the canal over a sector only three to four miles
and those assault sectors were within each division's existing defensive
sector. During our years of preparation, so many trenches had been dug
that the defensive lines of each division could act not only as the concentration
area before the attack, but could also hold the reinforcements and bridging
equipment. So each division had to move only very little before the attack.
But the strategic
exercise would not begin until October 1 (D
minus 5). By then the count would have been ticking down for
ten days. We needed 15 days not just because so much could be done
only at the last minute deploying artillery along the canal, moving bridge
sections, ferry components and crossing equipment to their final concentration
points, for instance-but because we had planned to make all sensitive movements
by night (those that, if detected, really would give the game away). Hence
we needed 15 nights, with a peak of activity over the last five.
A good deal of our
activity remained unavoidably public, however: the mobilizing of the reserves,
for instance. Enemy reconnaissance would undoubtedly detect that our exercise
was significantly bigger and more elaborate than in any previous year.
At this point the rest of our deception plan came into play. Military moves
by the canal would point in an aggressive direction. Our deception plan
supplied a series of actions and incidents, military and political, at
international as well as national level, that would reveal that the Arabs
were
not bent on war when pieced together by clever enemy analysts. The plan
worked so well that after some thought end with some regret I have decided
its workings are a valuable secret we should preserve, except for the glimpse
I feel able to give here. But at a personal level, the plan was very simple.
All of us in the senior echelons had to live two lives, preserve surface
normality while working in secret on the last preparations. Two worlds.
The secret was so
tightly held that I could afford no unusual behavior even inside the office.
I was Chief of Staff preparing for the annual exercise on October
1, no more. I cancelled no social, administrative, even private gathering
for fear someone would guess. I even managed to fool my wife. In fairness,
thirty years married to an army officer had inured her to phone calls from
my office saying I would be away with the troops for a few days. I made
my secret trip to Morocco and Algiers without letting even her know
I was leaving the country. She told me afterwards how astonished she had
been to hear the news of our assault on the radio.
The elaborately-planned
program of "normality" proceeded. On September 27 (D minus 9),
we took the most sensitive of our public steps: mobilization. To
disarm everyone, that same day General Isma`yil
had invited all Cabinet ministers to spend the day at GHQ, to be
briefed on its organization and work. We reckoned the enemy would never
believe a military machine on the verge of war would devote ten precious
hours to an "open day". The ministers, I recall, were particularly
impressed by the office equipment, mostly Western computers and mechanical
data-processing machines we had ordered in 1972 but only recently
had installed. (Some of the machines were the heart of our new mobilization
system.)

Next morning, September
28 (D minus 8), the Minister of War
and I were among the large military party who made the by-now-traditional
annual visit to the tomb of the late President Nasir.
We followed it with a ceremony at GHQ. That same evening I went
to the Arab Socialist Union's annual remembrance. Again it was by
careful calculation that President Sadat's
speech was low-key, restrained, very different from his fierce speeches
of the past few months.
Between such public
events, my days were a sequence of meetings with the commanders of each
of the services, running through the details of their plans for the last
time, checking against last-minute hitches.
October 1 (D minus
5) marked the beginning of the final phase. Our strategic exercise
began. That morning our GHQ moved to the war operations room, Center
Ten. (Even this was nothing unusual: we had moved to Center Ten for
our annual exercise for some years past.) The only remaining formality
was the last meeting of Armed Forces Supreme Council, convened at
the Ministry of War under the President. It was comparatively
brief. Each commander was asked formally to confirm his preparedness to
carry out the mission assigned to him. Each in turn described his mission,
the plan to carry it out, his state of readiness and finally gave his agreement
that he was ready. This was the necessary prelude to the formal War Order
the President would now sign for Isma`yil.
There was no other business. After a few encouraging words, the President
left.
At least, with the
exercise under way, nobody would expect me to attend diplomatic cocktail
parties. Back at Center Ten I concentrated over the days ahead on
three topics. The progress of mobilization, and the stealthy movement of
the crossing equipment and our reinforcements to the front, were two areas
where it was particularly important that our minutely-detailed schedules
be followed without error. My other main concern was to monitor the success
of our deception plans through continuous checking of the enemy's responses.
Inevitably, though, a host of minor concerns cropped up almost hourly:
problems with the vast communications net we were setting up; checking
the defenses of Center Ten itself; endlessly revising the text of
the early communiques we would issue in the battle. (The communiqués
would accuse the Israelis of having started hostilities a lie, but one
the enemy had employed against us in 1967. )
That day, October
1, we began at last to spread the secret. Our two key field commanders,
General
Sa`d
Ma'muwn of the Second Army and General `Abd
al- Mun`im Wasil of the Third Army, were called
to Center Ten and given the order: Prepare to carry out Plan
Badr on October 6. For the
next 48 hours only they were to know this. Their divisional commanders
could be told on October 3 (D minus 3 ),
their brigade commanders on October 4 (D minus 2), battalion
and company commanders on October 5 (D minus 1)
and their platoon commanders and men not until D-Day itself, six
hours before H-Hour.

But our final step that
day was the irrevocable one. Our submarines sailed to their appointed
battle stations. The captains did not know their mission: their
sealed orders were not to be opened until a few hours before H-Hour.
But
there was no fail-safe procedure. From the moment they sailed, the boats
were forbidden to use their radio. There was no way whatever of recalling
them or cancelling their mission. With their sailings, though the crews
did not know it, the war had effectively begun.
Fortunately for morale,
few even in Center Ten ever knew how close we came to postponement,
nevertheless. On October 3 (D minus 3) Isma`yil
flew to Damascus for a few hours. When he returned, he told me privately
that the Syrians had requested that D-Day be postponed for
48 hours.Isma`yil had refused-using
my predictable reaction as his excuse. "You must think of the Egyptian
front," he reported having said. "Think of General Shazliy's
position if we agreed to a postponement. We cannot hope to keep the secret
much longer. He would lose the surprise we have been working so hard for
so long to achieve. Before any decision we would have to seek Shazliy's
military opinion, and I simply do not think he
would agree." The Syrians
had been persuaded, Isma`yil
said, only with the greatest reluctance.
The enemy was not
the only group we tried to mislead. There were also the Russians.
That was difficult. Apart from instructors with the R-17E brigade,
they still had several experts with other units. They would see our preparations.
Nor would our cover story of an annual strategic exercise convince them
for long. There were too many differences this year, differences we
might hide from enemy electronic or satellite reconnaissance but scarcely
from experts in our midst.
It was on September
29 or 30, a week before the assault, that the President instructed
us to give the Soviets the vaguest possible outline of what was
afoot. We decided to play it down. The Director of Defense Intelligence
Service, General Fuw'ad Nasar,
was instructed to approach the Chief Soviet Liaison Officer, General
Samakhodsky
on October 2 (D minus 4) and tell him
we had information Israel was preparing a raid. We did not yet know where
or when. Samakhodsky was to be asked
if Moscow could provide further details. On October 3 and
again on October 4 (D minus 3 and D minus 2) Nasar
was to heighten his news, telling Samakhodsky
we were now certain it was going to be a large-scale raid, possibly
accompanied by a major air strike. Samakhodsky
appeared
to accept Nasar's story, but
by October 3 and 4 he must in fact have been extremely suspicious.
Too many things were going on. Their experts in the armed forces must have
been reporting back. Their experts in Syria must have been reporting
similar preparations. I suspect they got confirmation from satellite reconnaissance.
It is possible they had a tip-off from Presidents Sadat
or Asad. At any rate, it was quite clear
to us by October 4 (D minus 2) that
the Soviets were virtually certain war was imminent.
What we had not expected,
what took us totally by surprise, was the Soviet response. Late
on the evening of October 4, those Soviet experts and their
families living in Cairo were rushed to the airport and flown to
Moscow. By midday next day, Friday October 5 (D
minus 1) the mini-evacuation was complete. Many of their experts
were left behind, among them those training our R-1 7E brigade.
And, as a hasty telephone call to Syrian GHQ confirmed, the Soviets
were not evacuating their personnel from Damascus. I am still baffled.
But when I was awakened with the news that Thursday evening, my immediate
reaction was concern. So far, to our amazement, the enemy had not guessed
the truth. If anything could now persuade him, this panicky action would.

As if that were not enough,
the hours of the Soviet evacuation saw the only serious breach of
our own security. It was early evening on October 4 when we in Center
Ten learned to our horror that our national airline, Egyptair,
had suddenly cancelled it flights and was busily arranging the dispersal
of its aircraft to refuges outside Egypt. We were aghast-and furious
when we were told it was on the order of the Minister of Aviation.
We intervened to have the orders cancelled as swiftly as we could. By the
early hours of next morning, October 5 (D minus 1), flights were
back to normal. But surely the enemy would have learned of this and drawn
the correct conclusions? (We had no time to inquire into the cause of this
gross breach of security. Clearly, somebody had told the Minister of
Aviation or perhaps even a director of Egyptair of the date
of our attack. Who? On whose authority? I still would like to know.)
By now, I could stand
it no longer. That Friday morning, I left the subterranean world
of Center Ten and its telexes and telephones and radar screens for
a visit to the front. When I got to Third Army field HQ, I found General
Wasil
revising
an inspiring address he was proposing somehow to deliver to the troops
in the early minutes of the assault. He showed it to me and asked what
I thought. I thought it was excellent, if a trifle long. "But I don't
think anyone will actually listen to it," I said. "With the battle
raging and men being killed around them nobody is going to be interested
in a speech." His idea was worth adopting, though. "I suggest we
distribute transistor loudspeakers the length of the front and during the
assault they broadcast only one phrase"Allahu Akbar""God
is the Greatest", the battle cry of Muslim warriors in the
early days of Islam, these days the litany of anyone about to
attempt something big or difficult. "When the men hear that, they will
take up the cry and soon the whole front will be shouting "Allahu
Akbar" in unison.
The weaker will be
swept along by the stronger and more aggressive."
Wasil
was enthusiastic: his only problem was a shortage of loudspeakers. From
Wasil's
HQ
I called the Director of the Armed Forces Public Relations Department:
"I want you to provide transistor loudspeakers. Before ten tomorrow morning,
20 should have been delivered to the Third Army and 30 to the Second Army."
(Ten
for each assault front.) Blankly, he said he did not have
that number. I told him to draw them from any unit not part of the Second
or Third Armies and, if he was still short, buy some from the nearest
market. I gave him two hours, then he was to call me at Second Army
field HQ.

"Wasil
had
things well under control in the Third Army. Relieved, I drove north
to Second Army HQ. It was just as calm there.
General
Ma'muwn
had
a minor problem with GHQ engineer units who were arriving as reinforcements,
but a quick phone call to General Gamal
`Aliy, the director of engineers resolved it. I told Ma'muwn
of the loudspeakers he could expect-while we were talking, the public relations
director phoned to say they would be there on time.
There seemed no more
for me to do. I decided to have a last look at the Bar-Lev line.
Sa`d
Ma'muwn and I went to a forward observation post right on the
canal. Stealthily raising my head, I peered across. There opposite me,
no more than 300 yards away, rose one of the most powerful of all
the forts:Isma`yiliyah East we called it; though we
knew its Israeli name was FORT PURKAN.
It dominated the central sector, blocking the spinal road east into central
Sinai
from Tasa to the enemy's main
Sinai air base at Bir Gifgafa.
Even on our western side of the canal, the fort dominated the Isma`yiliyah-Cairo
road. It was a fulcrum of the enemy's defenses. Through the telescope I
strained to see signs of activity, any evidence that the enemy was alerted.
There was none. I relaxed. The next time I saw that fort, I was convinced,
it would be rubble in our hands.

| NEXT EPISODE:
The
Lull Before The Storm (Part three) |
(From left to right)
Minister of defense General
Isma`yil `Aliy, General
Sa`d
Ma'muwn Commander of the Second Army and President Anwar
Sadat during military
maneuvers in anticipation of the final assault.
|