The Iraq we know and hear so much about today is a new nation. The British created it in 1922 when the late sir Winston Churchill was minister of colonies.  He came to Egypt with his, then, advisor, T. E. Lawrence (the famous Lawrence of Arabia), where they re-drew the map of the middle east according to the (not so secret) treaty of Sykes / Picot.

The British team gave Transjordan to prince Abdullah, second son of the Cherif Hussein of Mecca, with the title of emir, and united the three Turkish Welayats of Mosul, Baghdad and Basrah into one country to which they gave the ancient Islamic name of Iraq.  The crown of the kingdom of Iraq was offered to prince Faysal, third son of Cherif Hussein, and the close friend of Lawrence.

The new kingdom (Iraq) was a cocktail of various religious and ethnic groups with different languages and cultures and different political and national allegiance.  Only a policy of "stick and carrot" could keep them together.  King Faysal and his successors followed the policy of the "carrot", but, after the 1958 revolution of brigadier general Abdel Karim Qassem, which overthrew the monarchy, the various dictators who ruled Iraq, starting with Qassem and ending with Saddam Hussein, followed the policy of the stick with the odd carrots here and there.

The following is a list of those different ethnic and religious groups, starting from the north:
 

1. The Kurds:  like the Iranians, the Kurds are Aryans, subjects of the Ottoman Empire.  They number around 25 million of which 3.5 millions are Iraqi Kurds.  The Kurds were promised independence by the treaty of Sevres, in 1920, but this independence was short lived and was revoked by the treaty of Lausannne, in 1922 which divided the Kurdistan amongst Turkey, Iraq, Iran and Syria.  Ever since, the Kurds' aspiration was to reunite the Kurdistan under one flag.

They fought hard to achieve that objective for the last three decades or so.  The Iraqi Kurds are themselves divided in two major political parties, the Kurdistan democratic party (KDP) led by Masoud Barazani and the patriotic union of Kurdistan (PUK) led by Jalal Talabani.  Both parties which have been at each other throats for years, reached a kind of "modus vivendi" and formed one parliament in the Kurdish town of Irbil and, established a kind of autonomy after the defeat of Saddam Hussein in the first gulf war.  While the KDP reigns supreme in and around the cities of Dahuk and Irbil, just south of the turkish border, the PUK controls the border area with Iran, in and around the city of Sulaymanya.  A Sunni group, composed of "Afghans", Kurds and Arabs called Jamaat Ansar al Islam, escaped from Afghanistan after the collapse of the Taliban regime, and settled in the PUK area attacking the PUK every now and then.  Their number is not believed to exceed 600 persons.

2. In and around Mosul a large community of Christians, called Assyrians, live side by side with the Kurds.  They have their own Semitic language and their number does not exceed 250 thousands.  Tareq Aziz, the deputy prime minister of Iraq is a Christian Assyrian!!!

3.  Added to this equation are the aspirations of about 2 millions local Turkmen, who live in northwestern Iraq, along its border with Syria.  Their ambition is to be joined with Turkey.

4.  Another faction to be considered in the coming war is the Yazidis numbering a little bit over a million.  The Yazidis follow a religion that predates Christianity and Islam and they have lived for centuries in the remote foothills of northern Iraq.  Muslim and Christian Iraqis believe the Yazidis are satanic.  But the Yazidis bristle at the term "devil worshipers" a connotation, they say, is used by their Muslim and Christian countrymen to mock their religion.  The Yazidis fiercely support the central government in Baghdad and, like the Alawites in Syria, have many of their members in the highest echelon of the Iraqi armed forces.
 

5. Sunni Arabs are concentrated in the area between the city of Tikrit, birthplace of Saddam Hussein, and about a hundred miles south of Baghdad.  They constitute a minority in Iraq and yet they control the government.

6. The Shiites, which constitute around 60% of the Iraqi population, live in the south where the two most holy cities of Shiism, Kerbala and a Najaf are situated.  Their largest concentration is in and around the city of Basrah. A small percentage of the shiites support the central government, while the majority look at Tehran, Iran where their leader Ayatollah al-Hakim resides. 

7.  Good luck America.  What worries me is not the war against a very weak Iraq, which will be a piece of cake, but the aftermath of the war.  It will be very hard for the U.S.A. to keep that country together even under a loosely federal government in Baghdad!!! 


 
The above is a short paper that I prepared and distributed to a class of (Canadian) Federal Government employees, during a lecture I gave in Ottawa, a few days prior to the invasion of Iraq.  Officially I am a retired Civil Servant, since December 1999, but, for the last four years I have been under contract with the Gov. to present a lecture every now and then.

My classes are usually composed of Army, Police, Immigration and Foreign Service Officers.  During the lecture mentioned above I was supposed to talk about the "Middle East, a History of conflicts" and it was supposed to cover the Middle East since the treaty of Sykes - Picot, the Balfour declaration and the treaty of Versailles until now;  but, because of the conflict with Iraq and the imminent invasion, half of my lecture was concentrated on that country.

In conclusion, I would like to point out that Ayatollah al-Hakim returned to southern Iraq then to al-Najaf a few days after the beginning of the hostilities.

 

Regards to all.

Kamal


 © Kamal Katba 2003

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